Snowpack levels above average, flooding likely
Hold onto those sandbags.
The National Weather Service in
Missoula is predicting potential flooding for western Montana in
May and June.
The snowpack for western Montana is 117
percent of average and more snow is expected this month that will
only add to the snowpack.
“We should see near normal
temperatures,” said Ray Nickless, a hydrologist with the National
Weather Service. “Rain showers mostly in the valleys and mountain
snow should continue to add to the snowpack.”
“That indicates we should expect to see
flooding in western Montana,” Nickless added.
The Kootenai Basin is showing 115
percent of normal for snowpack. The SNOTEL site at Poorman Creek is
showing 140 percent of average. But that’s not unusual, the
snowpack was 182 percent of normal in 1999 at the same spot.
“We’ve had some high snowpack in the
Cabinets,” Nickless said. “It’s not like we haven’t seen it
before.
Most mountain streams are expected to
flood. Nickless predicts flooding high up in the Yaak and Cabinets,
as well as flooding in the Eureka area.
The Fisher River area is also of
concern with 137 percent of average snowpack.
“I expect that to flood,” Nickless
said.
The critical time starts in April when
the smaller streams are in danger of flooding. Then creeks and
rivers have the potential to flood as more snow melts in May and
June.
Precipitation and temperatures during
that time are expected to be around normal.
“In April, May and June temperatures
should be cooler than average, although that doesn’t mean we won’t
get some warm temperatures some days,” Nickless said.
A La Nina weather pattern seems to be
the reason this winter was filled with snow and cold, Nickless
said.
“It’s still affecting the weather, but
it should weaken in the summer months,” he said.
A U.S. Army Corps of Engineers forecast
released early this month for Libby predicts April through August
runoff at 112 percent of the 1929 to 1999 average.
The April through August inflow
forecast for Koocanusa Reservoir is 121 percent of average for the
1975 to 2009 period of record and 113 percent of average for the
1929 to 1999 period of record.
The current outflow for Libby Dam is
17,000 cubic feet per second.